Tech & AI
AI milestones, big tech and product bets, priced by the people wagering on them.

50%– unchanged in 24 hours
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?
Polymarket traders price this at 50% (flat over 24h). Volume: $9,936.
- 0%– unchanged in 24 hoursByteDance Chinese AI Model Lags Rivals on Polymarket
- 0%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- 91%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- 7%– unchanged in 24 hoursSpain-Belgium Goalless Draw Odds Remain Low on Polymarket
- 9%– unchanged in 24 hoursTaipei 33°C High on July 9 Remains Unlikely, Traders Bet
- 2%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 11?
- 0%– unchanged in 24 hoursFrance vs. Spain: O/U 8.5
- 14%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in July?
- 1%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill Microsoft have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
- 2%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill Caitlin Clark have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
- 0%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill Haiti win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- 0%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
- GPT-5 Announced in Q1 2026: 42% Probability
- Tech Merger Approval Steady at 58%
- Apple AR Glasses Ship by December: 72%
- AI Regulation Bill Passes: 41% and Rising