Crypto
Bitcoin, ethereum and the wider market — probability-first crypto coverage.

100%– unchanged in 24 hours
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 11?
Polymarket traders price this at 100% (flat over 24h). Volume: $99,719.
- 6%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
- 1%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?
- 0%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 8?
- 15%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
- 100%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 10?
- 3%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 12?
- 99%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on July 13?
- Ethereum Flips Bitcoin by 2027: 15% Odds
- SEC Approves Spot Solana ETF: 34%
- Major Crypto Exchange Failure in 2026: 23%
- Central Bank Digital Currency Launches in G7: 56%